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收评:3050一线会有所反复   

2016-05-04 15:08:43|  分类: 默认分类 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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中午提到,早盘大盘在昨日收盘价附近维持窄幅震荡走势,盘中刷新了昨天高点。k线出现了中阳加小阳线的组合。从分时走势上看,早盘的震荡可以看做是对应昨天大涨的整理。我们清楚,2638点以来的上涨特点是震荡上涨,昨天大涨今天震荡是符合本轮上涨波段的运行特点的,若将昨天的中阳看做是止跌阳线,显然今天开始的震荡过后大盘将继续上涨。

以午后走势来看,大盘一度攻破3000点后尾市再次回落,全天总体维持了震荡格局,最近两个交易日,放量中阳和低开小阳的组合最终成型。承接中午分析,这样的k线组合出现后,短期大盘无忧,震荡过后还会再次上涨。不过需要注意的是,今天攻破3000点最高打到3004点后,距离4月20日大阴棒的开盘价就越来越近了。根据市场运行规律,那个位置是容易出现反复的,这是为什么呢?

如果我们从多空博弈的角度入手,很容易找到原因。4月20日空头大举发动进攻,攻击发起的位置是3050到3066区域,最低打到2905点,这就是空头的胜利成果。一旦接下来多头将大盘拉回到空头发起进攻的位置,则空头的成果就将殆尽,这极易引发空头的反扑,而多头为保住胜利成果,必然也会与其交战。多空双方交战的结果就是大盘会出现反复,而那个时候将是我们观察和检验多空实力的重要时间点,多头胜则新高现。

声明:凡是署名杨百万,殷保华,王亚伟,康洪涛,秦洪,李攀之类等等等等与笔者文章雷同的文章均为抄袭,望广大投资者明辨,避免上当。

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